Rest of Season Projection
AaronCategoryOneil
27HR ←19
65R ←63
57RBI →61
8SB →28
.254AVG ←.242
Current Season
AaronCategoryOneil
17HR ←13
43R ←42
38RBI →41
5SB →19
.248AVG →.255
What Each Player's System Trusts
Aaron Judge
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.415, +0.100 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Oneil Cruz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.353, +0.038 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 35% is stable and high — caps the floor
Judge outpaces Cruz 27 HR to 19 HR, but Cruz counters with a 28 SB lead; the stat-split is extreme.