MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Aaron Judge
Aaron Judge
NYY · RF
Change to
Portrait of Randy Arozarena
Randy Arozarena
SEA · LF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Aaron Judge.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, runs, and RBI.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Aaron Judge wins 3 categories (HR, R, RBI); Randy Arozarena wins 2 (SB, AVG).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Aaron Judge
94.1
Randy Arozarena
91.2
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Aaron Judge
57.3%
Randy Arozarena
42.2%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Aaron Judge
21.7%
Randy Arozarena
8.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Aaron Judge
25.8%
Randy Arozarena
32.2%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Aaron Judge
13.8%
Randy Arozarena
13.1%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Aaron Judge
.415
Randy Arozarena
.351
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Aaron Judge
.210.310
lg AVG .295
now .248
.233
Randy Arozarena
.210.310
lg AVG .295
now .286
.260

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Aaron Judge
521.80
now 17
9
Randy Arozarena
521.80
now 6
5
Runshigher is better
Aaron Judge
26.2047.80
now 43
32
Randy Arozarena
26.2047.80
now 41
31
RBIhigher is better
Aaron Judge
2045.20
now 38
29
Randy Arozarena
2045.20
now 26
20
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Aaron Judge
.00022.20
now 5
4
Randy Arozarena
.00022.20
now 17
13
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyAaron Judge — buy.conf 0.80
BuyRandy Arozarena — buy.conf 0.67
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