MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Aaron Judge
Aaron Judge
NYY · RF
Change to
Portrait of Trevor Larnach
Trevor Larnach
MIN · LF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 0–0, 5 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Aaron Judge wins 0 (none); Trevor Larnach wins 0 (none); 5 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Aaron Judge
94.0
Trevor Larnach
87.7
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Aaron Judge
57.5%
Trevor Larnach
36.7%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Aaron Judge
20.9%
Trevor Larnach
7.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Aaron Judge
26.4%
Trevor Larnach
29.7%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Aaron Judge
14.2%
Trevor Larnach
11.8%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Aaron Judge
.396
Trevor Larnach
.327
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Aaron Judge
.200.370
lg AVG .295
now .248
.000
Trevor Larnach
.200.370
lg AVG .295
now .262
.000

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Aaron Judge
523.80
now 17
0
Trevor Larnach
523.80
now 3
0
Runshigher is better
Aaron Judge
2060.20
now 43
0
Trevor Larnach
2060.20
now 26
0
RBIhigher is better
Aaron Judge
2053.20
now 38
0
Trevor Larnach
2053.20
now 17
0
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Aaron Judge
.0007
now 5
0
Trevor Larnach
.0007
now 2
0
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyAaron Judge — buy.conf 0.76
Hold · leans buyTrevor Larnach — hold.conf 0.60
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