Rest of Season Projection
AdamCategoryJake
2HR →5
39R ←29
16RBI ←9
0SB →2
.164AVG →.211
Current Season
AdamCategoryJake
1HR1
15R ←13
6RBI ←4
0SB →1
.227AVG ←.144
What Each Player's System Trusts
Adam Frazier
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.308 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.237 is 0.049 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Jake Cronenworth
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.304)
Adam Frazier: 2 HR / 39 R. Jake Cronenworth: 5 HR / 29 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).