Rest of Season Projection
AdamCategoryLenyn
2HR →7
39R ←23
16RBI →19
0SB0
.164AVG →.231
Current Season
AdamCategoryLenyn
1HR1
15R ←11
6RBI →9
0SB0
.227AVG ←.195
What Each Player's System Trusts
Adam Frazier
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.308 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.237 is 0.049 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Lenyn Sosa
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.249)
Adam Frazier: 2 HR / 40 R. Lenyn Sosa: 7 HR / 24 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).