Rest of Season Projection
AdolisCategoryJac
12HR →14
27R →33
24RBI ←22
3SB ←2
.216AVG →.255
Current Season
AdolisCategoryJac
4HR →6
17R →20
15RBI ←13
2SB ←1
.191AVG →.242
What Each Player's System Trusts
Adolis García
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.289 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Jac Caglianone
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.340, +0.025 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Adolis García: 12 HR / 27 R. Jac Caglianone: 14 HR / 33 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).