Rest of Season Projection
AdolisCategoryLawrence
12HR ←9
27R →32
24RBI →27
3SB →8
.215AVG →.224
Current Season
AdolisCategoryLawrence
4HR ←3
17R17
15RBI ←14
2SB →4
.191AVG ←.164
What Each Player's System Trusts
Adolis García
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.288 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Lawrence Butler
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.210 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Adolis García: 12 HR / 27 R. Lawrence Butler: 9 HR / 32 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).