MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 14, 2026
Portrait of Adrian Morejon
Adrian Morejon
SD · P
Change to
Portrait of Paul Sewald
Paul Sewald
AZ · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Adrian Morejon.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, and wins. Paul Sewald’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Adrian Morejon wins 4 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, W); Paul Sewald wins 1 (SV).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Adrian Morejon
99.2
Paul Sewald
91.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Adrian Morejon
17.6%
Paul Sewald
14.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Adrian Morejon
28.4%
Paul Sewald
28.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Adrian Morejon
36.8%
Paul Sewald
31.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Adrian Morejon
31.1%
Paul Sewald
41.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Adrian Morejon
2.3%
Paul Sewald
12.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Adrian Morejon
.247
Paul Sewald
.280
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Adrian Morejon
24.46
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.90
2.49
Paul Sewald
24.46
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.63
3.69
WHIPlower is better
Adrian Morejon
.9001.45
now 1.07
1.15
Paul Sewald
.9001.45
now 0.72
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Adrian Morejon
4040.60
now 35
27
Paul Sewald
4040.60
now 24
24
Winshigher is better
Adrian Morejon
.0006.60
now 4
25
Paul Sewald
.0006.60
now 1
11
Saveshigher is better
Adrian Morejon
.00026.20
now 1
11
Paul Sewald
.00026.20
now 15
1019
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyAdrian Morejon — buy.conf 0.92
Hold · wait & seePaul Sewald — hold.conf 0.50
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