Rest of Season Projection
AJCategorySam
38K38
3.78ERA →3.62
1.29WHIP →1.25
1–4W ←1–2
0SV0
Current Season
AJCategorySam
28K →29
4.42ERA →2.22
1.31WHIP →1.09
2W ←1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
AJ Blubaugh
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.20)
Sam Bachman
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.217 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.71 is 0.56 above the ERA — regression coming
AJ Blubaugh: 38 K / 3.78 ERA. Sam Bachman: 38 K / 3.62 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

