MLB Daily DeltaWeek 10 · June 3, 2026
Engraved portrait of Sam Bachman
week 10
this weekSELL-HIGH
last weekHOLD
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Sam Bachman

LAA·P
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10

Bachman is a sell-high — ERA masks BABIP luck.

Surface ERA flattered by an unsustainably low BABIP-against; xERA says regression. Sell high.

Sell High
med0.71

Drivers

  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.221 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
  • xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.63 is 0.41 above the ERA — regression coming
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed30.0%
30.0%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−10.0%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL70 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed4.3%
4.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.7%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL70 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.259
.259
lg avg .315 ▼−.056too early to trust
NOISE114 / 200 TBF
xERA2.63
2.63
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.47too early to trust
NOISE114 / 200 TBF
ERA2.22
2.22
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.88too early to trust
NOISE28.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %25.4%
25.4%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+3.4%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL114 / 70 TBF
Walk %12.3%
12.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+4.3%too early to trust
NOISE114 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.221
.221
lg avg .295 ▼−.074too early to trust
NOISE70 / 800 BIP