week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Sam Bachman
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (3.43); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 23WHIP 1.25ERA 3.68W 0–1SV 0
Bachman is a hold — league-average skill, limited data.
ROS projects K 29 YTD → 23 ROS, WHIP 1.09 YTD → 1.25 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %24.0%—+2.6% ▲vs his ~21.4% career norm
- Walk %11.4%—−0.9% ▼vs his ~12.3% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.43)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed33.3%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−6.7%vs his norm —
111 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed7.2%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.8%vs his norm —
111 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.289
lg avg .315 ▼−.026vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
175 / 200 TBF
xERA3.43
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.67vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
175 / 200 TBF
ERA4.14
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.04vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
41.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %24.0%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+2.0%vs his norm +2.6% ▲
175 / 70 TBF
Walk %11.4%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+3.4%vs his norm −0.9% ▼
175 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.257
lg avg .295 ▼−.038vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
111 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %15.5%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+4.5%vs his norm —
175 / 60 TBF
Chase %33.8%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+5.3%vs his norm —
175 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo99.5 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+5.5 mphvs his norm —
658 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 24.0%→22.6%signal23 K — K% 24.0% (signal) tempered to career ~21.4% → projected 22.6% over ~24 remaining…
xERA 3.43noise3.68 ERA — xERA 3.43 (noise) blended 8% skill / 92% league 3.70 at 28 IP.
BB% 11.4% + contactsignal1.25 WHIP — a 11% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.290 gives a 1.43 skill WHIP, blended 8…
run support + role0-1 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (setup)0 SV — role: setup, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.68 ERA, 1.25 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.