week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Sam Bachman
data as of September 11, 2026·week 25
ON THE 15-DAY IL
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (3.74); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 5WHIP 1.26ERA 3.70W 0–0SV 0
Bachman is a hold — average skills, one loud walk rate.
ROS projects K 29 YTD → 5 ROS, WHIP 1.09 YTD → 1.26 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %23.2%—+1.8% ▲vs his ~21.4% career norm
- Walk %13.6%—+1.3% ▲vs his ~12.3% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.74)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed32.0%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−8.0%vs his norm —
122 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed7.4%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.6%vs his norm —
122 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.299
lg avg .315 ▼−.016vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
198 / 200 TBF
xERA3.74
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.36vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
198 / 200 TBF
ERA4.14
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.04vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
45.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %23.2%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.2%vs his norm +1.8% ▲
198 / 70 TBF
Walk %13.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+5.6%vs his norm +1.3% ▲
198 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.241
lg avg .295 ▼−.054vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
122 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %14.6%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+3.6%vs his norm —
198 / 60 TBF
Chase %31.6%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+3.1%vs his norm —
198 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo98.5 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+4.5 mphvs his norm —
761 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 23.2%→22.3%signal5 K — K% 23.2% (signal) tempered to career ~21.4% → projected 22.3% over ~5 remaining IP.
xERA 3.74noise3.70 ERA — xERA 3.74 (noise) blended 8% skill / 92% league 3.70 at 28 IP.
BB% 13.6% + contactsignal1.26 WHIP — a 14% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.287 gives a 1.53 skill WHIP, blended 8…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (setup)0 SV — role: setup, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.26 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.