Rest of Season Projection
AustinCategorySam
38K →41
3.70ERA →3.62
1.24WHIP ←1.26
1–3W1–2
0SV0
Current Season
AustinCategorySam
22K →29
1.33ERA ←2.22
1.13WHIP →1.09
1W1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Austin Warren
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.260 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.82 is 2.49 above the ERA — regression coming
Sam Bachman
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.221 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.64 is 0.42 above the ERA — regression coming
Bachman leads in K (41 vs 38) and edges Warren in ERA (3.62 vs 3.70). The K gap is minimal; both hold sell-high windows.