MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
AJ Smith-Shawver
ATL · P
Change to
Portrait of Connor Prielipp
Connor Prielipp
MIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

AJ Smith-Shawver wins 1 (WHIP); Connor Prielipp wins 1 (K); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
AJ Smith-Shawver
96.0
Connor Prielipp
95.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
AJ Smith-Shawver
11.5%
Connor Prielipp
11.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
AJ Smith-Shawver
17.5%
Connor Prielipp
24.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
AJ Smith-Shawver
28.9%
Connor Prielipp
30.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
AJ Smith-Shawver
38.0%
Connor Prielipp
42.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
AJ Smith-Shawver
8.5%
Connor Prielipp
7.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
AJ Smith-Shawver
.336
Connor Prielipp
.313
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
AJ Smith-Shawver
3.695.54
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.15
4.10
Connor Prielipp
3.695.54
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.13
4.11
WHIPlower is better
AJ Smith-Shawver
1.231.45
now 1.38
1.30
Connor Prielipp
1.231.45
now 1.35
1.34

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
AJ Smith-Shawver
4047.40
now 4
10
Connor Prielipp
4047.40
now 35
12
Winshigher is better
AJ Smith-Shawver
.0001.48
now 0
00
Connor Prielipp
.0001.48
now 1
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeAJ Smith-Shawver — hold.conf 0.50
Buy LowConnor Prielipp — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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