MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 30, 2026
Alan Rangel
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Justin Sterner
Justin Sterner
ATH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 0–0, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Alan Rangel wins 0 (none); Justin Sterner wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Alan Rangel
92.9
Justin Sterner
93.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Alan Rangel
12.2%
Justin Sterner
15.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Alan Rangel
23.6%
Justin Sterner
21.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Alan Rangel
33.5%
Justin Sterner
33.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Alan Rangel
30.4%
Justin Sterner
45.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Alan Rangel
5.1%
Justin Sterner
9.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Alan Rangel
.317
Justin Sterner
.292
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Alan Rangel
24.28
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.25
3.70
Justin Sterner
24.28
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.54
3.69
WHIPlower is better
Alan Rangel
.9001.34
now 1.00
1.24
Justin Sterner
.9001.34
now 1.11
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Alan Rangel
4036.40
now 9
0
Justin Sterner
4036.40
now 26
0
Winshigher is better
Alan Rangel
.0002.80
now 0
0–0
Justin Sterner
.0002.80
now 2
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowAlan Rangel — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Hold · wait & seeJustin Sterner — hold.conf 0.50
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