Rest of Season Projection
AlbertCategoryJuan
36K →49
3.71ERA3.71
1.24WHIP ←1.26
3–8W ←1–2
1–5SV →3–6
Current Season
AlbertCategoryJuan
10K →30
2.61ERA ←6.00
1.21WHIP ←1.70
2W ←1
1SV →3
What Each Player's System Trusts
Albert Suárez
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.190 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.01 is 2.40 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 12% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Juan Mejia
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.372 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Albert Suárez: 36 K / 3.71 ERA. Juan Mejia: 49 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).