Rest of Season Projection
AlecCategoryKyle
12HR →20
40R →54
58RBI58
3SB ←1
.283AVG ←.190
Current Season
AlecCategoryKyle
7HR →22
26R →36
38RBI →39
2SB ←1
.281AVG ←.234
What Each Player's System Trusts
Alec Burleson
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.371, +0.056 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Kyle Schwarber
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.381, +0.066 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 34% is stable and high — caps the floor
Alec Burleson: 12 HR / 40 R. Kyle Schwarber: 20 HR / 54 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).