Rest of Season Projection
AlecCategoryPete
11HR →16
34R →43
50RBI ←46
3SB3
.290AVG ←.262
Current Season
AlecCategoryPete
7HR →11
26R →34
38RBI ←36
2SB2
.281AVG ←.237
What Each Player's System Trusts
Alec Burleson
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.391, +0.076 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Pete Alonso
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.271 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Alec Burleson: 11 HR / 34 R. Pete Alonso: 16 HR / 43 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).