Rest of Season Projection
AlexCategoryJac
4HR →14
40R ←34
43RBI ←22
0SB →2
.248AVG →.254
Current Season
AlexCategoryJac
0HR →6
12R →20
13RBI13
0SB →1
.290AVG ←.242
What Each Player's System Trusts
Alex Call
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.327 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.303 is 0.050 below the surface — regression coming
Jac Caglianone
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.341, +0.026 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Alex Call: 4 HR / 40 R. Jac Caglianone: 14 HR / 34 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).