Rest of Season Projection
AlexCategoryJames
4HR →22
40R →78
43RBI →57
0SB →15
.248AVG →.255
Current Season
AlexCategoryJames
0HR →16
12R →53
13RBI →39
0SB →10
.290AVG ←.272
What Each Player's System Trusts
Alex Call
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.327 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.303 is 0.050 below the surface — regression coming
James Wood
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.432, +0.117 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Alex Call: 4 HR / 40 R. James Wood: 22 HR / 78 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).