Rest of Season Projection
AlexCategoryMatt
4HR →8
40R ←26
43RBI ←39
0SB →4
.248AVG ←.246
Current Season
AlexCategoryMatt
0HR →4
12R →14
13RBI →21
0SB →2
.290AVG ←.211
What Each Player's System Trusts
Alex Call
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.327 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.303 is 0.050 below the surface — regression coming
Matt Vierling
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.318)
Alex Call: 4 HR / 40 R. Matt Vierling: 8 HR / 26 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).