Rest of Season Projection
AlexCategoryOneil
4HR →19
40R →63
43RBI →61
0SB →28
.248AVG ←.242
Current Season
AlexCategoryOneil
0HR →13
12R →42
13RBI →41
0SB →19
.290AVG ←.255
What Each Player's System Trusts
Alex Call
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.327 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.303 is 0.050 below the surface — regression coming
Oneil Cruz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.353, +0.038 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 35% is stable and high — caps the floor
Alex Call: 4 HR / 40 R. Oneil Cruz: 19 HR / 63 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).