Rest of Season Projection
AlexCategoryRyan
4HR →5
39R ←25
42RBI →56
0SB →6
.254AVG ←.228
Current Season
AlexCategoryRyan
0HR →3
12R ←9
13RBI →20
0SB →2
.290AVG ←.278
What Each Player's System Trusts
Alex Call
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.328 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.310 is 0.041 below the surface — regression coming
Ryan Vilade
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.311)
Alex Call: 4 HR / 39 R. Ryan Vilade: 5 HR / 25 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).