Rest of Season Projection
AlexCategoryEthan
30K ←28
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
0–0W0–0
0SV0
Current Season
AlexCategoryEthan
12K12
5.84ERA →1.69
1.54WHIP →1.00
0W0
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Alex Hoppe
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.91)
Ethan Roberts
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.19 is 2.33 above the ERA — regression coming
Hoppe and Roberts project identical 3.70 ERA and 1.24 WHIP, with a 2-K edge for Hoppe (30 vs 28). Identical ratios support the hold verdict; Roberts' sell-high call lacks statistical basis.