Rest of Season Projection
AlexCategoryJohn
33K ←28
3.70ERA ←3.74
1.24WHIP ←1.25
0–0W0–0
0SV →1–3
Current Season
AlexCategoryJohn
12K →13
5.84ERA →2.74
1.54WHIP →1.30
0W0
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Alex Hoppe
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.26)
John Schreiber
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.01 is 2.05 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Alex Hoppe: 33 K / 3.70 ERA. John Schreiber: 28 K / 3.74 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).