Rest of Season Projection
JohnCategoryJosé
33K →50
3.74ERA3.73
1.25WHIP ←1.26
0–0W0–0
1–3SV1–3
Current Season
JohnCategoryJosé
13K →33
2.74ERA ←5.46
1.30WHIP ←1.89
0W0
1SV1
What Each Player's System Trusts
John Schreiber
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.254 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.04 is 2.34 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
José Suarez
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.450 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
John Schreiber: 33 K / 3.74 ERA. José Suarez: 50 K / 3.73 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).