Rest of Season Projection
AlexCategoryJohn
45K ←33
3.74ERA3.74
1.25WHIP1.25
0–0W0–0
0SV →1–3
Current Season
AlexCategoryJohn
26K ←13
4.50ERA →2.74
1.35WHIP →1.30
0W0
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Alex Lange
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.50)
John Schreiber
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.254 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.04 is 2.34 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Lange's 45 K exceed Schreiber's 33; both project identical 3.74 ERA / 1.25 WHIP. The surface stats match, but verdicts diverge, reflecting Schreiber's sell-high window.