week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekSELL-HIGH
John Schreiber
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
flipped from SELL-HIGH on July 18, 2026
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (4.45); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 14ERA 3.72WHIP 1.25W 0–0SV 0–2
Schreiber is a hold — league-average skill, nothing to trade on.
ROS projects K 13 YTD → 14 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %18.5%—−5.6% ▼vs his ~24.1% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.45)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed40.7%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+0.7%vs his norm —
108 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed6.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.5%vs his norm —
108 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.326
lg avg .315 ▲+.011vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
151 / 200 TBF
xERA4.45
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.35vs his norm —xERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
151 / 200 TBF
ERA3.47
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.63vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
36.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %18.5%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−3.5%vs his norm −5.6% ▼
151 / 70 TBF
Walk %9.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.3%vs his norm +0.6% ▲Walk % is above his ~8.7% norm — expect it to fall.
151 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.277
lg avg .295 ▼−.018vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
108 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %9.6%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−1.4%vs his norm —
151 / 60 TBF
Chase %27.4%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−1.1%vs his norm —
151 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo93.7 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▼−0.3 mphvs his norm —
604 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 18.5%→21.7%signal14 K — K% 18.5% (signal) lifted to career ~24.1% → projected 21.7% over ~21 remaining IP.
xERA 4.45noise3.72 ERA — xERA 4.45 (noise) blended 3% skill / 97% league 3.70 at 23 IP.
BB% 9.3% + contactnoise1.25 WHIP — a 9% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.293 gives a 1.45 skill WHIP, blended 3%…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (setup)0-2 SV — role: setup, in the save mix only situationally.
rosterdeep3.72 ERA, 1.25 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.