Rest of Season Projection
JohnCategoryJustin
33K →41
3.74ERA3.74
1.25WHIP →1.24
0–0W0–0
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
JohnCategoryJustin
13K →25
2.74ERA ←5.32
1.30WHIP ←1.55
0W0
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
John Schreiber
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.254 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.04 is 2.34 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Justin Lawrence
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.74)
John Schreiber: 33 K / 3.74 ERA. Justin Lawrence: 41 K / 3.74 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).