MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 25, 2026
Portrait of Justin Lawrence
Justin Lawrence
WSH · P
Change to
Portrait of Sean Manaea
Sean Manaea
NYM · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Justin Lawrence.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Sean Manaea’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Justin Lawrence wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Sean Manaea wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Justin Lawrence
95.7
Sean Manaea
90.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Justin Lawrence
11.0%
Sean Manaea
11.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Justin Lawrence
25.5%
Sean Manaea
23.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Justin Lawrence
24.3%
Sean Manaea
32.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Justin Lawrence
44.4%
Sean Manaea
39.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Justin Lawrence
11.1%
Sean Manaea
8.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Justin Lawrence
.385
Sean Manaea
.314
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Justin Lawrence
3.125.95
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.32
3.75
Sean Manaea
3.125.95
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.08
3.93
WHIPlower is better
Justin Lawrence
1.131.67
now 1.55
1.25
Sean Manaea
1.131.67
now 1.46
1.29

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Justin Lawrence
4062.80
now 25
31
Sean Manaea
4062.80
now 42
52
Winshigher is better
Justin Lawrence
.000.480
now 0
00
Sean Manaea
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeJustin Lawrence — hold.conf 0.55
Buy LowSean Manaea — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.78
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