Rest of Season Projection
EthanCategorySean
25K →59
3.70ERA ←3.97
1.24WHIP ←1.29
0–0W0–0
0SV0
Current Season
EthanCategorySean
12K →42
1.69ERA ←5.08
1.00WHIP ←1.46
0W0
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ethan Roberts
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.245 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.15 is 2.38 above the ERA — regression coming
Sean Manaea
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.12 is right around league — a usable arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.321 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Ethan Roberts: 25 K / 3.70 ERA. Sean Manaea: 59 K / 3.97 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).