Rest of Season Projection
EthanCategoryKyle
28K ←27
3.70ERA ←3.74
1.24WHIP ←1.28
0–0W →1–2
0SV →1–2
Current Season
EthanCategoryKyle
12K →16
1.69ERA ←1.93
1.00WHIP ←1.54
0W →1
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ethan Roberts
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.19 is 2.33 above the ERA — regression coming
Kyle Finnegan
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.267 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.22 is 2.21 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Ethan Roberts: 27 K / 3.70 ERA. Kyle Finnegan: 31 K / 3.75 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).