Rest of Season Projection
AlexCategoryKyle
39K ←32
3.75ERA →3.73
1.25WHIP ←1.29
0–0W →1–2
0SV →1–2
Current Season
AlexCategoryKyle
26K ←16
4.50ERA →1.93
1.35WHIP ←1.54
0W →1
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Alex Lange
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.68)
Kyle Finnegan
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.275 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.14 is 2.26 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Alex Lange: 39 K / 3.75 ERA. Kyle Finnegan: 32 K / 3.73 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).