Rest of Season Projection
AlexCategoryEthan
38K ←28
3.76ERA →3.70
1.26WHIP →1.24
0–0W0–0
0SV0
Current Season
AlexCategoryEthan
26K ←12
4.50ERA →1.69
1.35WHIP →1.00
0W0
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Alex Lange
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.71)
Ethan Roberts
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.19 is 2.33 above the ERA — regression coming
Lange projects for 38 K vs Roberts's 28 K, with similar ERA (3.76 vs 3.70). The 10-strikeout gap supports the hold vs sell-high spread.