MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 27, 2026
Portrait of Alex Lange
Alex Lange
KC · P
Change to
Kyle Backhus
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Kyle Backhus.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Alex Lange’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Kyle Backhus wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Alex Lange wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Alex Lange
95.9
Kyle Backhus
90.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Alex Lange
12.4%
Kyle Backhus
8.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Alex Lange
22.9%
Kyle Backhus
22.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Alex Lange
29.4%
Kyle Backhus
30.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Alex Lange
41.9%
Kyle Backhus
34.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Alex Lange
12.0%
Kyle Backhus
5.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Alex Lange
.338
Kyle Backhus
.304
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Alex Lange
3.325.04
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.50
3.76
Kyle Backhus
3.325.04
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.66
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Alex Lange
1.171.42
now 1.35
1.26
Kyle Backhus
1.171.42
now 1.24
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Alex Lange
4032.40
now 26
21
Kyle Backhus
4032.40
now 10
15
Winshigher is better
Alex Lange
.000.480
now 0
00
Kyle Backhus
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeAlex Lange — hold.conf 0.55
Buy LowKyle Backhus — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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