MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 27, 2026
Dylan Smith
SF · P
Change to
Kyle Backhus
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Dylan Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Dylan Smith wins 1 categories (K); Kyle Backhus wins 0 (none); 3 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Dylan Smith
95.8
Kyle Backhus
90.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Dylan Smith
14.5%
Kyle Backhus
8.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Dylan Smith
27.1%
Kyle Backhus
22.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Dylan Smith
30.8%
Kyle Backhus
30.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Dylan Smith
36.6%
Kyle Backhus
34.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Dylan Smith
7.3%
Kyle Backhus
5.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Dylan Smith
.299
Kyle Backhus
.304
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Dylan Smith
26.52
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
Kyle Backhus
26.52
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.66
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Dylan Smith
.9001.50
now 0.60
1.24
Kyle Backhus
.9001.50
now 1.24
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Dylan Smith
4021.60
now 2
16
Kyle Backhus
4021.60
now 10
15
Winshigher is better
Dylan Smith
.000.480
now 0
00
Kyle Backhus
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighDylan Smith — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.92
Buy LowKyle Backhus — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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