Rest of Season Projection
AlexCategorySean
38K →59
3.75ERA ←3.97
1.26WHIP ←1.29
0–0W0–0
0SV0
Current Season
AlexCategorySean
26K →42
4.50ERA ←5.08
1.35WHIP ←1.46
0W0
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Alex Lange
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.69)
Sean Manaea
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.12 is right around league — a usable arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.321 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Alex Lange: 38 K / 3.75 ERA. Sean Manaea: 59 K / 3.97 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).