Rest of Season Projection
JohnCategorySean
23K →59
3.72ERA ←3.97
1.25WHIP ←1.29
0–0W0–0
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
JohnCategorySean
13K →42
2.74ERA ←5.08
1.30WHIP ←1.46
0W0
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
John Schreiber
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.234 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.42 is 1.59 above the ERA — regression coming
Sean Manaea
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.12 is right around league — a usable arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.321 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
John Schreiber: 23 K / 3.72 ERA. Sean Manaea: 59 K / 3.97 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).