MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 18, 2026
Portrait of Brad Lord
Brad Lord
WSH · P
Change to
Portrait of Justin Lawrence
Justin Lawrence
WSH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Brad Lord wins 2 (K, W); Justin Lawrence wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brad Lord
94.5
Justin Lawrence
95.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brad Lord
10.3%
Justin Lawrence
10.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brad Lord
21.0%
Justin Lawrence
24.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brad Lord
31.1%
Justin Lawrence
24.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brad Lord
40.8%
Justin Lawrence
43.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brad Lord
5.9%
Justin Lawrence
10.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brad Lord
.316
Justin Lawrence
.380
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brad Lord
26.38
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.68
4.00
Justin Lawrence
26.38
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.32
3.75
WHIPlower is better
Brad Lord
.9001.77
now 1.00
1.31
Justin Lawrence
.9001.77
now 1.55
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brad Lord
4036.60
now 31
25
Justin Lawrence
4036.60
now 25
23
Winshigher is better
Brad Lord
.0005.60
now 3
14
Justin Lawrence
.0005.60
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyBrad Lord — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeJustin Lawrence — hold.conf 0.55
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