Rest of Season Projection
JustinCategorySteven
40K →43
3.74ERA →3.71
1.24WHIP ←1.25
0–0W0–0
0SV0
Current Season
JustinCategorySteven
25K ←22
5.32ERA →3.46
1.55WHIP →0.96
0W0
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Justin Lawrence
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (6.02)
Steven Okert
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.206 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.88 is 0.55 above the ERA — regression coming
Justin Lawrence: 40 K / 3.74 ERA. Steven Okert: 43 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).