Rest of Season Projection
JohnCategorySteven
32K →43
3.74ERA →3.71
1.25WHIP1.25
0–0W0–0
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
JohnCategorySteven
13K →22
2.74ERA ←3.46
1.30WHIP →0.96
0W0
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
John Schreiber
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.254 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.05 is 2.35 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Steven Okert
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.206 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.88 is 0.55 above the ERA — regression coming
John Schreiber: 32 K / 3.74 ERA. Steven Okert: 43 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).