Rest of Season Projection
JohnCategoryTyler
32K →41
3.74ERA3.75
1.25WHIP →1.24
0–0W0–0
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
JohnCategoryTyler
13K →26
2.74ERA ←4.28
1.30WHIP →1.24
0W0
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
John Schreiber
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.254 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.05 is 2.35 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Tyler Wells
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.39)
John Schreiber: 32 K / 3.74 ERA. Tyler Wells: 41 K / 3.75 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).