Rest of Season Projection
CadeCategoryJohn
66K ←33
3.60ERA ←3.74
1.22WHIP ←1.25
2–5W ←0–0
23–43SV ←1–3
Current Season
CadeCategoryJohn
42K ←13
2.60ERA ←2.74
1.08WHIP ←1.30
2W ←0
20SV ←1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cade Smith
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.23)
John Schreiber
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.254 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.04 is 2.34 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Cade Smith: 66 K / 3.60 ERA. John Schreiber: 33 K / 3.74 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).