MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Adrian Morejon
Adrian Morejon
SD · P
Change to
Portrait of Cade Smith
Cade Smith
CLE · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Adrian Morejon.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA, WHIP, and wins. Cade Smith’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Adrian Morejon wins 3 categories (ERA, WHIP, W); Cade Smith wins 2 (K, SV).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Adrian Morejon
99.2
Cade Smith
96.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Adrian Morejon
17.6%
Cade Smith
17.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Adrian Morejon
27.7%
Cade Smith
34.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Adrian Morejon
37.3%
Cade Smith
33.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Adrian Morejon
31.7%
Cade Smith
45.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Adrian Morejon
2.2%
Cade Smith
10.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Adrian Morejon
.246
Cade Smith
.286
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Adrian Morejon
24.47
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.90
2.47
Cade Smith
24.47
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.60
3.68
WHIPlower is better
Adrian Morejon
11.30
now 1.07
1.17
Cade Smith
11.30
now 1.08
1.23

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Adrian Morejon
4048.80
now 35
25
Cade Smith
4048.80
now 42
34
Winshigher is better
Adrian Morejon
.0005.20
now 4
24
Cade Smith
.0005.20
now 2
12
Saveshigher is better
Adrian Morejon
.00029
now 1
11
Cade Smith
.00029
now 20
1121
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyAdrian Morejon — buy.conf 0.92
Hold · wait & seeCade Smith — hold.conf 0.50
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