MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 14, 2026
Portrait of Adrian Morejon
Adrian Morejon
SD · P
Change to
Portrait of Jhoan Duran
Jhoan Duran
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Adrian Morejon.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA, WHIP, and wins. Jhoan Duran’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Adrian Morejon wins 3 categories (ERA, WHIP, W); Jhoan Duran wins 1 (SV); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Adrian Morejon
99.2
Jhoan Duran
100.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Adrian Morejon
17.6%
Jhoan Duran
20.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Adrian Morejon
28.4%
Jhoan Duran
39.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Adrian Morejon
36.8%
Jhoan Duran
35.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Adrian Morejon
31.1%
Jhoan Duran
46.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Adrian Morejon
2.3%
Jhoan Duran
4.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Adrian Morejon
.247
Jhoan Duran
.229
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Adrian Morejon
24.85
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.90
2.49
Jhoan Duran
24.85
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.53
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Adrian Morejon
.9001.35
now 1.07
1.15
Jhoan Duran
.9001.35
now 0.96
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Adrian Morejon
4040.60
now 35
27
Jhoan Duran
4040.60
now 26
27
Winshigher is better
Adrian Morejon
.0006.60
now 4
25
Jhoan Duran
.0006.60
now 1
12
Saveshigher is better
Adrian Morejon
.00026.20
now 1
11
Jhoan Duran
.00026.20
now 12
1019
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyAdrian Morejon — buy.conf 0.92
Hold · wait & seeJhoan Duran — hold.conf 0.50
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