MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Cade Smith
Cade Smith
CLE · P
Change to
Portrait of Jhoan Duran
Jhoan Duran
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Cade Smith wins 2 (K, SV); Jhoan Duran wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Cade Smith
97.5
Jhoan Duran
100.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
16.9%
Jhoan Duran
18.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
35.7%
Jhoan Duran
34.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Cade Smith
32.5%
Jhoan Duran
35.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
44.8%
Jhoan Duran
40.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
9.0%
Jhoan Duran
3.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Cade Smith
.270
Jhoan Duran
.226
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Cade Smith
23.60
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.60
3.01
Jhoan Duran
23.60
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.53
2.11
WHIPlower is better
Cade Smith
.9001.19
now 1.08
1.12
Jhoan Duran
.9001.19
now 0.96
1.03

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Cade Smith
4056.40
now 42
7
Jhoan Duran
4056.40
now 26
6
Winshigher is better
Cade Smith
.0002.80
now 2
00
Jhoan Duran
.0002.80
now 1
00
Saveshigher is better
Cade Smith
.00027.20
now 20
25
Jhoan Duran
.00027.20
now 12
24
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyCade Smith — buy.conf 0.92
BuyJhoan Duran — buy.conf 0.92
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