MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Jhoan Duran
Jhoan Duran
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Louis Varland
Louis Varland
TOR · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Jhoan Duran.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Louis Varland’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Jhoan Duran wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Louis Varland wins 0 (none); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Jhoan Duran
100.5
Louis Varland
98.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Jhoan Duran
18.5%
Louis Varland
15.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Jhoan Duran
35.2%
Louis Varland
31.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Jhoan Duran
34.1%
Louis Varland
36.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Jhoan Duran
39.4%
Louis Varland
36.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Jhoan Duran
3.6%
Louis Varland
3.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Jhoan Duran
.223
Louis Varland
.239
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Jhoan Duran
23.20
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.53
2.07
Louis Varland
23.20
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.29
2.37
WHIPlower is better
Jhoan Duran
.9001.23
now 0.96
1.01
Louis Varland
.9001.23
now 1.03
1.15

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Jhoan Duran
4058.80
now 26
0
Louis Varland
4058.80
now 42
0
Winshigher is better
Jhoan Duran
.0002.80
now 1
0–0
Louis Varland
.0002.80
now 2
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyJhoan Duran — buy.conf 0.92
BuyLouis Varland — buy.conf 0.92
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