MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Cade Smith
Cade Smith
CLE · P
Change to
Portrait of Louis Varland
Louis Varland
TOR · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Cade Smith wins 1 (WHIP); Louis Varland wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Cade Smith
97.5
Louis Varland
98.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
17.1%
Louis Varland
15.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
36.5%
Louis Varland
31.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Cade Smith
33.7%
Louis Varland
36.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
43.3%
Louis Varland
36.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
8.8%
Louis Varland
3.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Cade Smith
.261
Louis Varland
.239
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Cade Smith
23.85
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.60
2.83
Louis Varland
23.85
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.29
2.37
WHIPlower is better
Cade Smith
.9601.22
now 1.08
1.08
Louis Varland
.9601.22
now 1.03
1.15

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Cade Smith
4058.80
now 42
0
Louis Varland
4058.80
now 42
0
Winshigher is better
Cade Smith
.0002.80
now 2
0–0
Louis Varland
.0002.80
now 2
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyCade Smith — buy.conf 0.92
BuyLouis Varland — buy.conf 0.92
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