MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Cade Smith
Cade Smith
CLE · P
Change to
Portrait of Devin Williams
Devin Williams
NYM · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Cade Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA, WHIP, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Cade Smith wins 3 categories (ERA, WHIP, SV); Devin Williams wins 2 (K, W).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Cade Smith
96.9
Devin Williams
93.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
17.0%
Devin Williams
17.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
34.8%
Devin Williams
29.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Cade Smith
33.5%
Devin Williams
38.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
45.2%
Devin Williams
30.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
10.4%
Devin Williams
5.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Cade Smith
.286
Devin Williams
.291
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Cade Smith
26.52
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.60
3.68
Devin Williams
26.52
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.40
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Cade Smith
.9001.74
now 1.08
1.23
Devin Williams
.9001.74
now 1.55
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Cade Smith
4047.60
now 42
34
Devin Williams
4047.60
now 31
35
Winshigher is better
Cade Smith
.0005.20
now 2
12
Devin Williams
.0005.20
now 3
24
Saveshigher is better
Cade Smith
.00027.40
now 20
1121
Devin Williams
.00027.40
now 8
510
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCade Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Buy LowDevin Williams — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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