Rest of Season Projection
BryanCategoryDevin
44K →58
3.67ERA ←3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
1–2W →3–7
17–32SV ←10–18
Current Season
BryanCategoryDevin
29K →31
2.22ERA ←5.40
1.07WHIP ←1.55
1W →3
16SV ←8
What Each Player's System Trusts
Bryan Baker
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.230 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.84 is 0.71 above the ERA — regression coming
Devin Williams
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.04)
Bryan Baker: 44 K / 3.67 ERA. Devin Williams: 58 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).