week 10
this weekSELL-HIGH
last weekSELL-HIGH
————————
Bryan Baker
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
Baker is a sell-high — BABIP luck is propping up his ERA.
Surface ERA flattered by an unsustainably low BABIP-against; xERA says regression. Sell high.
Sell High
high0.78
Drivers
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.241 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.80 is 0.58 above the ERA — regression coming
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed30.5%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−9.5%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL59 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed6.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.2%too early to trust
NOISE59 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.267
lg avg .315 ▼−.048too early to trust
NOISE99 / 200 TBF
xERA2.80
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.30too early to trust
NOISE99 / 200 TBF
ERA2.22
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.88too early to trust
NOISE24.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %29.3%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+7.3%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL99 / 70 TBF
Walk %11.1%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+3.1%too early to trust
NOISE99 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.241
lg avg .295 ▼−.054too early to trust
NOISE59 / 800 BIP