MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 20, 2026
Portrait of Bryan Baker
Bryan Baker
TB · P
Change to
Portrait of Lucas Erceg
Lucas Erceg
KC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Bryan Baker.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Bryan Baker wins 4 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, SV); Lucas Erceg wins 1 (W).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bryan Baker
97.1
Lucas Erceg
97.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bryan Baker
16.3%
Lucas Erceg
10.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bryan Baker
29.3%
Lucas Erceg
15.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bryan Baker
36.1%
Lucas Erceg
28.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bryan Baker
31.0%
Lucas Erceg
40.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bryan Baker
5.7%
Lucas Erceg
5.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bryan Baker
.246
Lucas Erceg
.322
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bryan Baker
27.97
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.22
3.65
Lucas Erceg
27.97
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.33
3.71
WHIPlower is better
Bryan Baker
.9002.26
now 1.07
1.24
Lucas Erceg
.9002.26
now 1.92
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bryan Baker
4034.60
now 29
24
Lucas Erceg
4034.60
now 18
21
Winshigher is better
Bryan Baker
.0005.20
now 1
11
Lucas Erceg
.0005.20
now 3
24
Saveshigher is better
Bryan Baker
321
now 16
917
Lucas Erceg
321
now 11
713
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighBryan Baker — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.85
Hold · wait & seeLucas Erceg — hold.conf 0.55
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